3. -- Walder, Riser to watch: Jackson has clearly proven himself to already be one of the best in the league at avoiding pressure by escaping out of the pocket, and his mobility is unmatched. Mills' 123.5 passer rating on deep throws led the league last season. The new NFL season is here! Justin Fields brings immediate deep passing upgrade - Bear Goggles On But in terms of Jones' deep passing, the addition of Golladay could serve as a significant X-factor. Few quarterbacks toe the line with "risky" throws without actually putting the ball in danger as effectively as Ryan. 5. He would be much further up this list if not for his underwhelming accuracy metrics: He finished 23rd in accuracy rate and 26th in accuracy-plus rate. -- Bowen, Watch: Russell Wilson 0:24 If Tua Tagovailoa develops into an elite, upper-echelon pro quarterback, it seems clear his super powers are going to need to be accuracy, touch and quick decision-making. 2022 NFL Draft: Final QB rankings | NFL Draft Analysis - NBC Sports EDGE 4. He also ranked second in accuracy-plus percentage by placing 43.7% of his deep balls in the perfect spot for his receiver. 7. What's most incredible is how many of these quick-strike throws are also coming off of play-action fakes. On his way to an AFC championship victory, Burrow completed 186 of his 240 short pass attempts in 2021 for 1,858 yards and 12 touchdowns. I see a player who is learning what he can get away with and when, and I think that shows itself during this upcoming season and beyond. Derek Carr, Raiders 6. Stat to know: No quarterback was contacted on more plays than Jackson last season (180). His ability to pirouette out of pressure, avoid oncoming rushers and side-step a would-be sack turns nothing plays into possible scoring opportunities. Tucker is a wasted pick with Jimmy G behind center" -- Walder, Riser to watch: A lot is asked of Murray, including nearly 560 pass attempts and more than 130 rushes last season. Murray ranked top-10 in completion percentage, yards per attempt, passer rating and yards on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield, notably leading starting quarterbacks in PFF grade on those throws. 9. He led the Seahawks to an 11-5 record, just falling short of . Not every throw needs to be a fastball, and Brady has a mastery of the throws that win with touch. Tom Brady, Buccaneers Herbert can do both, and I anticipate us seeing that more going forward. I think he could've easily been ranked higher on this list. In that game alone, Jackson was 36 of 41 for 434 yards, four touchdowns and no picks on inside-the-pocket throws. 4. But how about a shoutout for someone who didn't make the cut: Guess who has the most wins over the past five seasons in games in which they at some point had less than a 10% chance of winning? Although his overall accuracy rate increased by a modest three percentage points last season vs. 2020, his accuracy in the red zone jumped from 69% in 2020 to. Wilson made it eight straight seasons of durably starting and never having a losing year in the NFL. -- Walder, With our live draft lobby, you can be drafting a team in minutes. Herbert's 48.4% completion rate ranked second among starters, while his 16.4 yards per attempt finished third. No one had a lower ratio of sacks to pressures than Mahomes (0.10). Discussion: Who threw the best deep ball in NFL history? : r/nfl - Reddit 9. 2021 Elite 11 Finals QB Superlatives: Strongest Arm, Most Accurate, Best Decision-Maker and More . Tom Brady, Buccaneers 32. . Hurts finished in the top half of the league in deep-passing yards (766) a season ago. But the quarterback who ranked No. 2021 College Football Prospect Preview: Quarterback Names To Know Doyel: Once the No. 1 QB in nation at Brownsburg, Hunter Johnson now 4. Josh Allen, Bills When you have CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper to roast man-to-man defenses, along with Dalton Schultz and Blake Jarwin over the middle, why not just let it rip? 4. Raiders QB Derek Carr excelling at deep passes in 2021 Murray does both. Is the Chicago Bears' quarterback of the future in this year's NFL Matthew Stafford, Rams And even that might not work all that well. Stroud comes in as the most accurate of the top five quarterbacks. Russell Wilson, Seahawks But mechanics are still a big part of success. Buffalo fans can be confident that if Allen gets hurt, Trubisky can at least create on the ground in the same impressive fashion. Next Gen Stats' top 10 NFL deep passers of 2021: Three QBs playing for It's a passing league, there are seemingly more great pass-catchers than at any time in recent memory, offensive coordinators are getting more and more creative in scheming their players open, and the league has pretty much mandated bone-crushing hits out of the game where QBs are concerned. But in terms of creating outside of structure, I already have Darnold in my personal top 10. section: | slug: murrays-magic-daks-patience-and-allens-deep-ball-heres-how-the-nfls-top-qbs-are-dominating-in-2021 | sport: football | route: article_single.us | 8. Russell Wilson, Seahawks. The man has seen everything, and the way he's operating right now shows it. His below average arm strength anchored the vertical passing game the Panthers had been trying to build. Aaron Rodgers, Packers And there's no question that Lawrence will make this list next season. Justin Herbert, Chargers, Best of the best: Rodgers and Wilson are two of the very best when it comes to hitting tight-window throws that seemingly are impossible completions, in addition to showing great touch on the deep ball. -- Walder, Riser to watch: Herbert has as much raw talent as nearly anyone else in the league. In addition, while his 2020 campaign was cut short due to . 5. To view standard stats, check out our QB Stats reports. No play should be presumed over with this guy. Much like 2021, however, his deep accuracy declined significantly beyond throws of 21-30 yards, as he was 6-20 on throws of 31+ yards. 4. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs Matt Ryan, Falcons -- Tannenbaum, Snubbed: One could argue nothing has been more critical to Ryan Fitzpatrick's success than how tough he is in the pocket. Tyreek Hill caught two of Mahomes' touchdowns for 334 of his deep yards, so we'll have to wait and see whether the star quarterback can keep up his deep-passing prowess with Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Mecole Hardman in 2022. 8. That was his only turnover-worthy play, which contributed to a lowly turnover-worthy play rate of 0.4% the best non-zero mark. It's not only about pass velocity or placement. Tua Tagovailoa had the highest adjusted completion rate on deep passes (20+ yards) in 2021 at 55.2%. 7. "He threw an accurate deep ball 37.9% of the time, which ranked . -- Walder, Riser to watch: Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence didn't make the top 10 because we haven't yet seen him take an NFL snap. Based on last season, I would expect his improvement to continue. His 78.0 short passing grade ranked eighth of the 37 quarterbacks who attempted at least 72 short passes in 2021. Heinicke's 52.6 passing grade was 32nd of 32, and he had an ugly, last-place 17.91% turnover-worthy play rate. The pass went incomplete near the back of the end zone, but it was still notable: It was the farthest-thrown football in terms of actual distance by any quarterback on any play in the regular or postseason over the past four years. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. -- McFarland, Snubbed: New England's Cam Newton feels like an odd omission given his reputation, but a relentless string of injuries, including shoulder issues, have sapped him of the arm strength of his youth. 1 overall pick completed six of his 22 deep-ball attempts for 273 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions before his season-ending knee injury. And Baker Mayfield has clearly benefited from playing in Kevin Stefanski's scheme with Cleveland; he should be in the top 10 in this category next year. The baseline for league-average play has accordingly been raised, but there are still plenty of players who are clearing it with a whole lot of room to spare. That's just, like, how time and space work. Matt Ryan, Falcons 7. Yes, Kyler Murray, in his rookie season, was the most accurate deep passer in the 2019-20 Deep Ball Project. 3. What to know: The Mississippi State transfer is set to be the Badgers' backup quarterback behind Southern Methodist transfer Tanner Mordecai, but the gap between Locke and QB1 isn't as wide as most thought.Locke is a smart decision-maker, accurate with the football and reads defenses well. But he's not just getting rid of the ball quickly. The man is just so slippery. In the modern NFL, teams need to have a quarterback who can hit explosive plays whenever the opportunity presents itself. 6. Deshaun Watson, Texans* Deshaun Watson, Texans* Time will tell if he can replicate that in 2021. Embrace debate. They might not be scripted, but plenty of successful plays happen when a quarterback sees open field and scrambles for a big chunk. The Vikings quarterback completed 166 of his 218 short passing attempts for 1,292 yards, 11 touchdowns and a 101.3 passer rating. He is a long-strider, which makes him better on the edge and in space rather than dodging defenders at the second level, but he has similar tools to Allen. October 20, 2021 6:30 am PT There was a point in Derek Carr's career in which he was considered among the least aggressive quarterbacks in the NFL. As we wrote in our "Thursday Night Football" preview: Brady is throwing the ball within 2.5 seconds of the snap on more than 60 percent of his dropbacks, per Pro Football Focus, and he is PFF's highest-graded passer on those plays. Matthew Stafford, Rams, Best of the best: What makes Rodgers such a mad scientist in the pocket is understanding when to break it and when to buy himself time. While Jackson is the NFL's most dynamic player when he breaks contain, Mahomes' ability to threaten defenses in scramble situations, both as a runner and a thrower, puts him at the top of my list. NGS | NFL Next Gen Stats Interpreted as: top 32 most passing accurate with a minimum of 14 passing attempts per team game by a player deep ball 2021 Deshaun Watson, Texans* 4 is higher than I would have expected. The best quarterbacks minimize the degree to which their performance drops off, either by getting rid of the ball quickly and with pinpoint accuracy, or by using their athleticism to make plays outside of structure. He only had twenty deep passing attempts, but he. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs Given that Hall will likely start as the backup quarterback behind Kirk Cousins, this experience should help him if he ever gets thrust into unexpected playing time. He earned a 28th-ranked passing grade. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs Bills sign veteran RB Murray to one-year deal, LB Barrett's 2-year-old daughter drowns in pool, Deion 'ashamed' after only 1 HBCU player drafted, Sources: NFL eyes May 11 to release schedule, Jets coach Saleh: Rodgers making 'presence felt', Cowboys scout emotional as team drafts his son, Rams use 'Mr. Jalen Hurts, Eagles Aaron Rodgers, Packers That was his only turnover-worthy play, which contributed to a lowly turnover-worthy play rate of 0.4% the best non-zero mark. 7. Kirk Cousins, Vikings Mac Jones was the 15th overall pick by the New England Patriots. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Up first is perhaps the league's most picked apart quarterback. Jones earned a 16th-ranked 87.7 passing grade on deep throws last year, going 22-of-58 for 690 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Matt Ryan, Falcons It's notable that he's hitting an incredible amount of big plays down the field in these situations, with throws of 20-plus air yards accounting for 27.3% of his attempts under pressure. Russell Wilson, Seahawks Top 32 Most Accurate Deep Ball 2021 | StatMuse He was the 2016 IndyStar Mr. Football . The former Jets quarterback has the ability to escape the pocket, extend plays and make second-reaction throws from multiple platforms and arm angles. Not only does Jackson excel with general vision and decision-making specifically to that area, but he understands defenders' leverage in such a way that helps him locate the ball away from them, which is the same thing veterans such as Brady and (in years past) Philip Rivers get credit for. 4. Dynasty Rookie Draft Primer: Quarterbacks (2023 Fantasy Football) 8. Next Gen Stats' top 10 deep passers of 2020: Aaron Rodgers lands - NFL Tied for second . -- Kimes, Stat to know: How does one quantify pocket presence? Age 37. 7. 1. Allen finished the season with 77 deep-ball attempts, totaling 1,051 deep-passing yards and finishing fifth among starters in PFF grade throwing deep. Watch: Patrick Mahomes When you have the best wide receiver in the game, why make things complicated? He has 11 straight seasons with single-digit interceptions, taking care of the ball, making the decision every time, and moving in the pocket to keep the play alive and create a big play downfield. 8. Athleticism. -- Kimes. Dak Prescott, Cowboys Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Who locates their passes in the perfect spots? Russell Wilson, Seahawks He does not have any margin for error to make up time with his velocity. He never lets a defense feel like it has him figured out. Hall won 15 games over the last two seasons, including an 8-2 record in 2021. Some of that is certainly schematic and by design, but he still went 0-of-9 on deep throws under pressure. T1. Deshaun Watson (67.0%), 5. Some pretty deep balls in that video, especially considering the era in which he did it. T8. You don't currently have any notifications. Russell Wilson, Seahawks He was one of only six quarterbacks who recorded zero turnover-worthy plays on short pass attempts. -- Walder, Riser to watch: Coming out of Wyoming, Josh Allen had a habit of just trying to throw the ball hard. He also recorded an 83.5% completion rate, which was the best of the 37 quarterbacks with at least 72 short passing attempts. And that goes back to his tape at USC. He's getting it rid of the ball quickly and pushing it down the field, which makes no sense. T7. 7:55 am ET. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Pocket presence refers to how a quarterback operates in the pocket. "Shot Zone" situation . Deshaun Watson, Texans* NFL Pass Completion % Career Leaders | Pro-Football-Reference.com Caleb Leach. He completed 47.6% of his 42 attempts, earning an impressive 89.4 passing grade. Giants' Daniel Jones ranks among the best deep passers in the NFL Physicality is the big trait in this section. 5. 1 for a QB, and nobody was better at making sure the opposition didn't receive extra possessions in 2020 than Rodgers. -- Yates, Biggest surprise: Wilson at No. The 14-year pro and reigning Super Bowl champion averaged 19 yards per attempt and racked up 1,272 yards from deep passes, both of which led the NFL's starters last season. 26. Justin Herbert (66.9%), 7. He is a dynamic player who is big, fast and tough. Dak Prescott has earned layers of criticism from NFL faithful for his turnovers, but on the deep ball he got away with just one turnover all season. Aaron Rodgers might be the most accurate quarterback in the league, and he's certainly one of the most careful. Justin Herbert, Chargers Josh Allen, Bills 2021 Elite 11 Finals QB Superlatives: Strongest Arm, Most Accurate Matthew Stafford, Rams, Best of the best: Mahomes has made off-platform throws look routine since the very first practice he had as a Chiefs rookie, and he is only going to get better there as his confidence continues to grow. The Super Bowl runner-up averaged 15.8 yards per deep pass attempt, fifth among the league's starters. Prescott earned a seventh-ranked 94.5 passing grade on his 73 deep attempts. He is showing again in 2021, that he is one of the most accurate after AS decided to run plays longer than 5-10 yards. 5. But there's a reason that this kid was the consensus No. 10 spot, if not higher. 1. Only four other players have more than four of these completions on the entire season. The Dolphins signal-caller ranked third in completion percentage (48.3%) and second in yards per attempt (18.1) a season ago, but only Taylor Heinicke posted a worse turnover-worthy play rate on deep passes. He had a league-high six deep passes dropped, too. 8. Some things our analysts looked at here include: ability to sense and avoid pressure, command and mobility within the pocket, calmness under duress and how a QB gets it done from both under center and shotgun formations. His completion percentage has dramatically increased since his college days at Wyoming. The Colts-turned-Commanders quarterback ranked seventh among starters in both turnover-worthy play rate (4.5%) and passer rating (107.8) on deep passes last season. -- Riddick, Biggest surprise: Herbert needed to make the cut here. He has added more EPA than any quarterback in the league on deep throws, according to NFL.com's Next Gen Stats model, so it seems like a pretty good strategy.
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