Review of the disintegration of the Tories in the context of Brexit, SW1 vs, perspectives on risks of Brexit/Remain, and, and save the trolley to Get Brexit Done despite our reservations. 406. Alexander the Great, Robin Lane Fox. If you get into it you have no right to be bitter, youre the one who sat down and joined the game People who dont succeed, people whove had long bad times like Renoir Renoir was the best director ever are people who didnt want to make the kind of pictures that producers want to make. Dominic Cummings: Key points from his evidence to select - Sky News Vernon Smith, economics Nobel-winner, argues that TOMS provides a better basis for economic models and prediction than modern neoclassical economics. Also you cant understand our world unless you have a sense of Nietzsches profound influence on 20th Century artists, thinkers, and politics. , Courant. Before the current lockdown scandal, he was best known for. The Nazis did indeed think they were creating a new world beyond good and evil, so did Stalin. Why? Partly accessible to a non-specialist with some maths already, though very challenging for most including me. *Come and See ( , Russian). Also Democracy in America. David wrote some of the breakthrough papers on quantum computers. Gdels Lost Letter & P=NP (on maths, logic, P=NP, computational complexity), Steve Hsu (in general, and if interested in extreme talent Steve blogs a lot on this). Almost anything good you read on strategy and conflict is based on ideas you see here. It would be ridiculous to be bitter about Hollywood. SW1 suffers such extremely powerful wilful blindness even an event as big as covid doesnt puncture consciousness in many important ways. Because he looked on the whole universe and all that is in it as a riddle, as a secret which could be read by applying pure thought to certain evidence, certain mystic clues which God had laid about the world to allow a sort of philosopher's treasure hunt to the esoteric brotherhood. Alls Fair, Carville & Matalin. The point that Producers didnt want to make a Renoir picture even if it was a success is really important. , George Dyson (son of Freeman). , Charlie Munger. His boss and predecessor was Kelly Johnson who wrote this short list of principles. Youll understand more of how SW1 really works than from all PM memoirs of the last 30 years combined (PMs never face why they dont control much of Whitehall even after theyve gone). Grovess last personnel report concluded that his effectiveness is unfortunately lessened somewhat by the fact that he often irritates his associates, but he has extraordinary capacity to get things done. Then he was effectively fired. Although some other officials and senior figures had also broken the lockdown rules, this transgression was the first to . Click repeat). How to predict news? LKY, Boyd, Groves all say the same). Posted January 13, 2014 Source: Pexels There's a lot of hope today that playing mindless brain training games will make you. ; 2) how to map the spread of memes and identify critical nodes in the network that, if influenced somehow, can amplify or dampen signals? A good biography of Einstein by Isaacson. Then nationalism became generally despised by educated liberals, and so on We cant, how our own ideas will appear in the future but its fascinating how little we, to imagine how foolish our own views will inevitably appear to those looking back on us. Dominic Cummings Offers a Sorry-Not-Sorry for U.K. Lockdown Breach The top adviser to Prime Minister Boris Johnson caused a furor after it was learned he had driven 260 miles to his parents'. (I knew Mark, a professor at Cambridge, who spent a huge amount of time over the past decade helping state school pupils get hold of great physics material via Isaac Physics. In Pursuit of the Travelling Salesman, Cook. Those who think very fast timetables are plausible do not talk about it publicly because (partly) they worry about the effects of their comments. My wild Westminster Dubbed 'The Gazelle' by the press, she was a trusted aide who babysat Boris, chauffeured Dominic Cummings and chaperoned Carrie Johnson when the PM was ill. As a new television drama depicts Downing Street during the pandemic, Cleo Watson describes her whirlwind year at No 10 Dress to thrill Feeling gilty? , Seymour Papert. Dominic Cummings Judea Pearl is one of the most important scholars in the field of causal reasoning. A billionaire should provide copies to all elected politicians. I blogged a series on this great book starting. Now, perhaps, they have some idea of what that. Also you cant understand our world unless you have a sense of Nietzsches profound influence on 20th Century artists, thinkers, and politics. Rosen on military innovation, very relevant to discussions on things like drones and AI in Ukraine. A reader with no more than GCSE Maths can read this introduction to maths from Greece through the birth of calculus. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. AT&T could only support it when a monopoly. , summarising the arguments on why artificial general intelligence is so dangerous and why controlling these dangers is so very hard. While some lessons are specific to time/place (e.g how the Senate works in 1950) the most important lessons from all such books are quite abstract and common and I assume this will be true of these classics. Classic text, university level. On digital fabrication. Am told that the Loebs translated by Shackleton Bailey is the best translation. I started reading him around 1999 when I first got involved in politics. Then nationalism became generally despised by educated liberals, and so on We cant know how our own ideas will appear in the future but its fascinating how little we try to imagine how foolish our own views will inevitably appear to those looking back on us. Richard Feynman was a giant of theoretical physics who famously defined science as "the belief in the ignorance of experts". If you want to stop Trump in 2024 you should figure out what you could offer Plouffes wife to let him do it. In the meantime Ill post another tomorrow. Gawande. Ive only read a few excerpts of these but reading them all is a project for later this year. Clausewitz. It was night, bombs were exploding, and mothers were covering their children with whatever bedding they had, and then they would lie on top of them. A classic book on mathematical problem solving. If youre in Georgia, visit her house in Milledgeville. northwood dominic cummings He did not try to influence todays arguments but instead tried to prepare the future, an approach of great power partly because, as Monnet said, theres almost no competition. NB. He left his Downing Street role following an internal power struggle, amid claims the PM's then-fiancee had blocked the promotion of one of his allies, Lee Cain, after months of internal warfare . I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. Why? A history of ARPA-IPTO and Xerox PARC: how the internet and PC revolution was created. Quantum Computing Since Democritus, Scott Aaronson (2013) is a brilliant introduction to many ideas about computation, physics and quantum information. (I spent ~2 years reading a lot of books on this ~2005-15. Sept. 7, 2019 Dominic Cummings, special adviser to Prime Minister Boris Johnson of . Some supported this approach but as youd expect the worst hated it. For example: , Andy Grove, ex-founder/CEO of Intel. , Hunter S Thompson. Its crucial to remember both aspects of this genius-monster without whom probably no World War I, Lenin, Hitler etc summed up by Salisburys two comments: One misses the extraordinary penetration of the old man and he will do things of which it would be absurd to suspect any other statesman in Europe. Fascinating. He also wrote a, A great textbook by the worlds leading scholar on the subject. Tolstoy and Dostoyevsky. Predictions on AGI can be Straussian. So a philosopher simultaneously prepared the ground for Hitler, deeply influenced todays Left, and personally hated Bismarck and anti-semites. Predictions on AGI can be Straussian. Remember that approxmitately no MPs and few in Congress are aware of these facts or ideas yet they speculate confidently about Putins thinking on nuclear weapons. My blog with other books HERE. Some Thoughts on Education and Political Priorities - Goodreads , Beinhocker. , General Groves. The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. Our impression was there is valuable low hanging fruit for governments, hedge funds, campaigns. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. Many ideas you see from others (e.g Taleb) derive from Mandelbrot. Again the meta-lesson: while everybody wants to know what are they investing in? almost nobody pays any attention to how do they organise Berkshire, why is it so different, how does this relate to extreme performance?. The story of Turing, von Neumann and the computer. Michael also wrote the textbook on QCs, one of the top ten cited physics books ever written. Again the meta-lesson: the media often obsesses with specific horrific stories which for a few days absorb SW1 attention, but there is no interest in actually solving the institutional problems and the institutions will successfully resist change during a media panic then go back to business as usual. A lot of Boyd (including getting inside your enemys OODA loop) is interpreting Sun Tzu after 2,000 years of case studies proving him right plus some modern ideas. The cynicism/realism remains shocking. Dominic Cummings substack | Substack Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. Reading List Dominic Cummings Jun 26, 2022 80 This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Dominic Cummings substack Subscribe to view Keep reading with a 7-day free trial Subscribe to Dominic Cummings substack to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. There is a great. For example: The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. Vernon Smith, economics Nobel-winner, argues that TOMS provides a better basis for economic models and prediction than modern neoclassical economics. His Memoirs are fascinating and so is this biography by Duchne. It is, therefore, practically unknown in SW1. True of Bismarck (only appointed because of meltdown in royal circles), true of the likes of SpaceX (an explosion away from bankruptcy) and Steve Jobs (tried to sell early and was turned down), true of Brexit We just dont see all the stories of very able people trying really hard who get taken out by bad luck early in the story. If youre thinking of doing a startup or just curious about how to do hard things you should read. Nobel-winner, Feynman sparring partner, co-founder of Santa Fe Institute, wrote a book on complex systems for the general reader. High Output Management, Andy Grove, ex-founder/CEO of Intel. David Deutschs books. Looks at the bigshots of modern military thinking. This shows the critical meta-lesson again: those in power have no interest in high performance. Good Strategy, Bad Strategy by Rumelt. The basic arguments remain critical today. LKY, Boyd, Groves all say the same). (Some confusion about his ideas is a result of his sister who, a Nazi supporter and edited things he wrote to distort his actual views. was the fundamental reason I think Brexit is the right idea and the EU is doomed to fail in important ways. I thought this was outstanding and every young person aspiring to be influential in politics should read it. When you read this you realise that UK parties are something like 50-60 years behind understanding TV so its no surprise theyre bad at new technology. People who havent studied it often mock Fukuyamas. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. Anyone interested in terrorism and counter-terrorism should watch Pontecorvos movie The Battle of Algiers, one of the best movies ever made. On War, Clausewitz. Plato. Dominic Cummings on Twitter Why it's in AOC's interests to challenge Old Joe. Next week I'll write something for subscribers only on 'Some basics of how to do regime change'. Dominic Cummings, the Man Trying to Take Down Boris Johnson - Intelligencer Book accompanying an OU course. . There's a big bad enemy out there, possibly with superior weaponry but. . We look back on history and abstract over decades or centuries, judging the ideas that held sway for a few decades and sneering at how formerly all the world was mad as Nietzsche put it. This is true even of those who frequently complain about this phenomenon. Cummings described a "completely insane situation" in March 2020 when a bizarre cocktail of events came together on one day. (general reader). Want to Get Smarter? Read Something on This List Mathematics and the Physical World, Morris Kline. On dynamic tools, interface design, Seeing Rooms, new ideas about programming, tools for thought, and so on, David Deutschs books. The Selling of the President 1968, McGinniss. In general Colin Grays work. What does it say about the West that their newspaper propaganda was much higher class than most elite philosophy now? Someone should run a prize for the best 10,000 word essay summarising the fundamental lessons of this book (which I havent read in full, just skimmed, because of time not a judgement). By Reagans pollster. Useful introduction to some fundamentals, from Pythagoras to Newton to e and complex numbers. I blogged a series on this great book starting here; if you only read one of these blogs make it this one on the most important issue, great people (NB. , in contrast to most professional economists who influence media debate on regulation who have no idea of how government really works and how destructive it is to make simple things take years, how it drives people away, rewards the worst people and companies etc. by Rumelt. Ive only read a few excerpts of these but reading them all is a project for later this year. I know I should like Dickens, the Russians loved Dickens, but I just couldnt enjoy it, probably a school effect, and I should retry. If you read his blogs and trusted him on covid over the entire CDC/FDA/WHO bureaucracies, youd have come out far ahead. Almost no MPs or senior officials study him or are even midly interested. The smartest person Einstein said he knew wrote one of the first things on existential risk. Classic text, university level. Autocracy has wide variance in performance one minute you have Bismarck in charge, the next you have Wilhelm II firing him and trying to govern himself in an appalling disaster that took the best educated country in the world towards Nazism. , Gigerenzer. 121. Reading List - Dominic Cummings substack Reading List Dominic Cummings Jun 26, 2022 79 127 As long promised (sorry! A good biography of Einstein by Isaacson. Dominic Cummings, Boris Johnson's Rasputin, is happy to watch the country blow up if he gets what he wants. Dominic Cummings Dec 8, 2021 93 726 Subscriber-only AMA, Friday 12-2 UK time. The best book about Gdels Theorem (according to the editor of Gdels Collected Works) which explains why almost everything one reads about it including by some famous scientists (e.g. The Dominic Cummings guide to management Boris Johnson's adviser plans to put business leaders' strategies into practice Andrew Hill Dominic Cummings, the prime minister's senior adviser, has. About Robert Mosess grip on NYC. And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. by Lee Kuan Yew. E.g rapidly speeding up construction/housing/infrastructure, how to accelerate scientific discovery and technological development. I googled recently after getting no reply to an email and learned to my dismay that he died of cancer last year. I will publish soon a chronology of 1862-67 following the twists and turns of Schleswig-Holstein, the escalating conflict with Austria, the domestic conflict running through the period. Calculus, Spivak (2008 edition). The vaccine taskforce a) created huge value for the UK and the world, b) would no way have happened without [typo original!] His. de Tocqueville. Psychologie des foules, Gustave le Bon. It also corrects a lot of modern books that have reverted to the World War I was a terrible accident / railway timetables idea in fact crucial nodes in the Prussian deep state network were trying to force war in summer 1914 and to manipulate Wilhelm II into going along with their plans. , one of the best movies ever made. I started like everyone young assuming those at the top of politics must be smart, interested in policy and great at organising things. If you want to understand the modern intellectual classes media, academia and politics this plugs you straight into their psychology. Wycombe Abbey Suicide: Caitlyn Scott-Lee Found Dead Dominic Cummings (@Dominic2306) / Twitter Will live players use the next five months to build build build or waste the most important element in conflict, time, and let non-player characters stumble into a set of critical decisions in November? Pentagon Wars, Burton. Cummings was his most senior adviser his de facto chief of staff and the architect of the Tories' 2019 landslide victory in the general election. Never At Rest, Westfall. The Greatest Communicator, Worthlin. , Gustave le Bon. (Steinbergs recent book has interesting stuff but has many errors of fact/date and interpretation.) , Nietzsche. ; 2) how to map the spread of memes and identify critical nodes in the network that, if influenced somehow, can amplify or dampen signals? Keynes essay on Newton is great: , the core document of the rationalist movement. Mr Cummings is Boris Johnson's chief adviser. Lines and Curves, Vassiliev and Gutenmacher. All ideas welcome. , Plouffe. ), here are some books and a few papers I recommend. What is mathematics?, Courant. On expert decisions under pressure, like firemen. The Man from the Future, Bhattacharya. Many ideas you see from others (e.g Taleb) derive from Mandelbrot. The cynicism/realism remains shocking. ), here are some books and a few papers I recommend. Producers didnt want to make a Renoir picture even if it was a success. One of the most critical lessons? Many who used them went on to the famous Kolmogorov schools.). Their favourite argument is the laughable its a small island, about as sensible as a general saying Alexander the Great was using cavalry so its out of date. Steve Jobs advised Obama to do the same but it didnt happen. Interesting on the psychology of selling and marketing. Oppenheimer is better known but Groves was his boss. I searched for explanations. (Also note that the oversight for Groves was a group of just four who met with no secretariat and no formal records.) Aug 25, 2022. People who havent studied it often mock Fukuyamas The End of History but most do not realise the last chapter is about Nietzsche and the Last Man, and this chapter is the most relevant today. Ill do a separate list on science funding. Also see Nietzsche on the pre-Socratics. (Ive recently read some of the media commentary about 2019 that I ignored at the time and its amazing how many hacks thought I was trying to use vNs game theory. It is by far the best insider book Ive read on modern UK politics and the only one that realistically and honestly faces a) the failures of MPs as managers and systems thinkers, and b) the failures of the civil service. A modern version of Polya for children, by aFields Medalist. He believed that these clues were to be found partly in the evidence of the heavens and in the constitution of elements(and that is what gives the false suggestion of his being an experimental natural philosopher), but also partly in certain papers and traditions handed down by the brethren in an unbroken chain back to the original cryptic revelation in Babylonia. Those who think very fast timetables are plausible, because (partly) they worry about the effects of their comments. Im reading this summer. Some interesting things I've read recently - Substack Ditto for the Johnson volumes (Ive not read) when Caro publishes the last. I enjoyed/learned from Isaacsons biography of Steve Jobs. The Federalist Papers. You can learn from him about how to get very hard things done without admiring his character. A great textbook by the worlds leading scholar on the subject. Anybody who goes to Hollywood can see right away what the setup is Hollywood is Hollywood, theres nothing you can say about it that isnt true, good or bad. Gdels Theorem: An Incomplete Guide to its Use and Abuse, Franzen. The title comes from. The Book of Why (general reader). Hard question (relevant to AGI safety debates! This by Fields Medallist Terry Tao, maybe the greatest mathematician alive, is brilliant and incredibly useful for someone like me explaining a lot of fundamental concepts in non-technical language. Considered by many in Silicon Valley to be the best book on the details of management. The replication disaster means you have to be careful about what you believe but its still a good book. Useful introduction to some fundamentals, from Pythagoras to Newton to e and complex numbers. Like LKY, crucial if you really are interested in practical planning for high performance government. Many who used them went on to the famous Kolmogorov schools.). , John Hoskyns. Whenever and. This will also show you why high performance is so hard it is totally hostile to normal bureaucracies dominated by large numbers of middle managers. . No doubt about that Nietzsche produced the climate in which Fascism and Hitlerism could emerge. If you want to understand the modern intellectual classes media, academia and politics this plugs you straight into their psychology. (Dostoyevsky was Nietzsches favourite novellist!). Dominic Cummings on Twitter: "RT @zebulgar: Step aside Andy Grove, I While No 10 was trying to get a grip on the pandemic, news came in . While some lessons are specific to time/place (e.g how the Senate works in 1950) the most important lessons from all such books are quite abstract and common and I assume this will be true of these classics. Had I included everything I knew and shown the whole truth, even I could not have watched it. If theres one film to show Nietzsche brought back from the dead, maybe this is it. For us its often seen as high level political philosophy but it was bashed out by Hamilton et al as part of a brutal political struggle including many dirty tricks on both sides. The History of the Peloponnesian War, Thucydides. , Leonard Susskind (2013). Most of the world is not like this! Cummings has also instructed the advisers to read High Output Management by Andrew Grove, the former chief executive of computer-chip manufacturer Intel, who "warns that success breeds. This excellent short book introduces quantum mechanics using A Level maths. Sign in It was a direct inspiration for my terrorist demand to Boris, July 2019: we must create an ARPA. For us its often seen as high level political philosophy but it was bashed out by Hamilton et al as part of a brutal political struggle including many dirty tricks on both sides. Collison has a webpage summarising responses to this. Governments find it very, very hard to fund such ventures. Dominic Cummings Quotes - BrainyQuote The philosophising Tolstoy fought against the picture of an infinitely complex system in which most thoughts and actions fade to zero significance quickly but a few connect to others with highly non-linear effects. , Carville & Matalin. ): how much was the effectiveness bound up with the dangerousness the failure of alignment and/or the inherent drive of high intelligence to escape constraints/control/alignment with others goals? Something on how ideas change over different time scales. The politicians soon are on the next current thing too. The Visual Display of Quantitative Information, Beautiful Evidence, and Seeing With Fresh Eyes, by Edward Tufte are classics about the presentation of information by the worlds leading expert. Dynamics of 2024. The uncomfortable truth about Dominic Cummings's campaign playbook The media laughed and many said its so boring. Expert Political Judgment, and Superforecasters, Tetlock. Dominic Cummings Jul 15, 2021 39 66 Last week I wrote re: Why I went to No10 in summer 2019. (A great highlight of Oxford for me was four-hour tutorials with RLF on Athenian democracy, Thucydides, Alexander etc.). Re Clintons 1992 campaign which influenced the Blair 1997 campaign. He did not try to influence todays arguments but instead tried to prepare the future, an approach of great power partly because, as Monnet said, theres almost no competition. ), , Waldrop. Dominic Cummings on Twitter: "Reading List https://t.co/ZKDXNCltbH Elite opinion in London today is dominated by very similar people with very similar education and very similar views that inevitably include. Yes its striking that looking at my internet favourites for politics there are no UK-based political blogs/writers I regularly read. Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. Behavioral Genetics, Plomin.
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